ICC World Twenty20 2016 semi-final scenario: What teams need to do to qualify?
New Zealand clinched their third win out of three matches in the Super-10 of World T20 and thus ensured themselves a place in the semi-final. They still have a match left – against Bangladesh. The other four teams in Group 2 – India, Pakistan, Australia and Bangladesh – still have a chance to join them in the semis. How can they do so: (STATS || POINTS TABLE || FIXTURES)
India
The easiest way for India to qualify for semis would be to win their remaining two matches, against Bangladesh and Australia. That will give them six points and a place in semi-final. But if they lose one, then it will become a bit difficult for them. If India beat Bangladesh and Australia beat Pakistan, India-Australia match in Mohali will be a virtual quarter-final. But if India lose to Bangladesh but beat Australia, then they have to depend on the net run-rate and have to fight on it with the winner of Australia vs Pakistan. There is one more way. If India beat Bangladesh, lose to Australia and Pakistan beat Australia, then India, Pakistan and Australia will be left on four points each and better NRR will decide the semi-finalist. (India vs Bangladesh)
Pakistan
Having lost two matches out of three, Pakistan are in a bit of a tricky situation but are still eligible to qualify. Their 55-run win over Bangladesh has helped them as their NRR is second best in the group. If they beat Australia and other results go their way, they have a good chance to qualify. They will hope that India fail to win any of their remaining two matches. This will leave Pakistan, India and Australia with four points each and the team with better NRR will go through. Their good NRR may prove to be a blessing for them in that scenario. (New Zealand vs Pakistan)
Australia
Like India, Australia qualify if they win their remaining two matches with the match against India being a virtual quarter-final. If Pakistan beat Australia but they go on to beat India, they will have four points. If India beat Bangladesh then all three teams will have four points each. NRR once again will come into play. (Australia vs Pakistan)
Bangladesh
They face the most daunting task if they want to qualify. With two losses in two games, they are yet to get any points. If they manage to beat India and New Zealand, the two best teams of the group, they would then hope for other matches to go in their favour like Australia losing both their games. Then NRR will be taken into account. But that may not help them as they have a NRR of -1.75. (India vs Bangladesh)
